FBTN November Newsletter
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November 2011

John Sklenar

CPA/PFS, CFP

ChFEBC, Chartered Federal Employee Benefits Consultant 

In This Issue

1. Alphabet Soup

2. Economics 101 

Economics 101     

 

Experience has taught us that the business of money is nothing if not interesting.  Today, one more item to add to the list of odd and interesting things that have happened in the world of money: The Occupy Wall Street Movement-a motley collection of anti-capitalist protesters, angry youth, and disgruntled labor-has filed for trademark protection of the movement's name.

 

The movement-which is unincorporated and whose leadership is something of a work in progress-intends to use the trademarked name to sell t-shirts and other merchandise.

 

Yes, we have an anti-capitalist movement applying for trademark protection in order to sell branded merchandise at a profit-or what we like to describe as engaging in capitalism. 

 

The Occupy Wall Street movement may or may not survive the cold Manhattan winter.  2012 being an election year, the movement might get absorbed by the Democrats, much like the Tea Party movement was absorbed by the Republicans.  Or, it may simply lose steam and fade into irrelevance as the media and public get bored with it.  Only time will tell, and much will depend on how the respective campaigns of both parties develop.  

 

But whether the movement has staying power or not, the popular anger and dissatisfaction almost certainly does.  And there is not much that our politicians can do about it without making a difficult situation even worse.

 

Let's focus today on one issue that gets a lot of headlines-unemployment. 

 

The official unemployment rate, at 9.1 percent, has stubbornly stayed at levels last seen nearly 30 years ago.  The last time unemployment was over 9 percent was 1983-in Ronald Reagan's first term. 

 

Then, as now, we had a large, restive generation of young people. 1960 marked the highpoint of the post-WWII Baby Boom.  By the early 1980s, that massive bulge of Boomers was out of high school or college and desperately looking for work.  Today, we have much the same situation. The Echo Boomer generation-the children of the Baby Boomers-had its largest birth year in 1990, 21 years ago.  The U.S. economy, then as well as now, lacked the demand to absorb millions of young, untrained workers.  And so unemployment remained high until the economy finally grew fast enough to absorb its excess labor. 

 

The lesson to learn from this is that large generations take time to incorporate into the workforce.  Unfortunately for today's youth, it might take longer for them than it did for their parents.  You see, the parents are part of the problem. 

 

America's Baby Boomers are now in a stage of life that has them aggressively saving for retirement.  They are spending less and saving more, which is great for the financial health of their families but it is an absolute disaster for the economy as a whole.  This is what the economist John Maynard Keynes called the Paradox of Thrift.  What is good for you-to be responsible and spend less-is bad for your neighbor if they depend on you as a customer.  

 

This does not mean that today's restive youth will never find jobs or that the "New Normal" is to have 9 percent unemployment.  Eventually, our economy will acclimate to lower spending by Boomers, and the unemployment rate will slowly fall to something closer to the long-term average.

 

But in the meantime, expect wage growth to be tepid and economic growth to be somewhat sluggish.  And whatever happens to Occupy Wall Street, expect to see plenty more youth angst. 

 

Source: "Occupy Wall Street Applies for Trademark," 

Click here for full article  

 

 

Turkey Talk    

   

Abraham Lincoln specified that Thanksgiving would be celebrated on the last Thursday of November. Which American president tried to move that date back one week to allow one more week of holiday shopping?  

 

Be the first to reply to the address under Contact Us and win a holiday prize.

Alphabet Soup   
 
21 of the 26 letters in the alphabet are currently used as 1-letter ticker symbols for publicly held companies traded on US stock exchanges (Source: BTN Research). 

 

Man's Best Friend   

    

Congratulations to David Mace (USDA) for being the first to answer our question correctly this month.  Thanks to all who participated.  The correct answer is as follows:

  

 

Cat-lovers aside, the most popular pet by far in the United States is the dog, and the Labrador Retriever is the most popular dog breed in the country (and has been for the past 10 years).
 
Contact Us
Premier Financial Services, Inc. 
202 West 7th St. 
Carroll, IA  51401
Phone: 866-792-6668 (toll-free)
712-792-6400 (local)
712-792-6670 (fax)

 

 

Alphabet Soup   
 

FEHB and TriCare

 

One of the most common questions federal employees have is related to how their Federal Employees Health Benefits will change in retirement. If you do three things, you will be allowed to take your health insurance with you into retirement with the federal government providing approximately 72% of the premiums and your share continuing at approximately 28%. Those three things are:

 

  • Retire on an immediate annuity
  • Be insured on the day you retire
  • Have been insured for 5 years prior to retire or since first eligible

 

Open Season for FEHB always brings up questions from those who are set to retire within a year or two but haven't been under FEHB coverage. They might have been covered as a family member which allows them to enroll under their own coverage (paying lower premiums for self only than family coverage) and continue the FEHB into retirement.

 

Or, they might have been on their spouse's policy with a private employer and be pursuing federal coverage prior to retirement. In this scenario, the federal employee would have to be covered for 5 full years prior to retirement. Since FEHB coverage typically does not take effect until early in January, if you're planning to add FEHB late in your career and retire at the end of the year, you'll want to enroll 6 years prior to retirement.

 

If you are a veteran with TriCare, you may want to consider signing up for the FEHB a year prior to retirement (depending on your retirement date). At retirement, you could then suspend your FEHB benefits. Your TriCare would continue as usual. If TriCare benefits change in the future or you move to a location without large access to TriCare, you would be able to go back and pick up your FEHB during any Open Season. You give yourself options for the future.

 

Remember, Open Season begins November 14 and ends December 12.
 

 

Start Today  

 

To accumulate $1 million in a tax-deferred account earning a static +6% over a 30-year period requires monthly contributions of $1,021. To accumulate $1 million in a tax-deferred account earning a static +6% over a 20-year period requires monthly contributions of $2,195. This calculation ignores the ultimate impact of taxes on the account which are due upon withdrawal, this is for illustrative purposes only and is not intended to reflect any specific investment or performance. Actual results will fluctuate with market conditions and will vary (source: BTN Research).

  

TSP Returns

 

Finally! A recovery from the summer's slide into negative returns! All funds were positive in October and everything but the S and I Funds and the Lifecycle 2040 are back in positive territory year to date.

 

G Fund

October -         .14%
YTD -            2.15%

 

F Fund

October -        .11%
YTD -              6.79%

 

C Fund

October -     10.93%
YTD -              1.28%

 

S Fund

October -    14.09%
YTD -               (2.85%)

 

I Fund

October     -   9.48%
YTD -               (7.71%)

 

L Income

October -        2.31%
YTD -              2.01%

 

L 2020

October  -        6.18%
YTD -                .65%

 

L 2030

October -        7.68%
YTD -                   .09%

 

L2040

October -      8.83%
YTD -                 .41%

 

L2050

October -      9.92%
YTD - Not available - fund started in February 2011

 Returns provided by www.fedsmith.com 

Parity      

 

In the last 7 World Series, 11 baseball teams have participated. Only the Phillies, the Cardinals and the Rangers have advanced to the World Series more than once since 2005 (source: BTN Research).  

Home Sweet Home      

 

The average size of a new home built in the USA in 2010 is 2,152 square feet, an increase of +35% since 1980. Bill Gates owns a home with 66,000 square feet. A football field (counting the end zones) is 57,600 square feet (source: Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University).