Experience has
taught us that the business of money is nothing if not
interesting. Today, one more item to add to the list of odd and
interesting things that have happened in the world of money: The Occupy
Wall Street Movement-a motley collection of anti-capitalist protesters,
angry youth, and disgruntled labor-has filed for trademark protection
of the movement's name.
The
movement-which is unincorporated and whose leadership is something of a
work in progress-intends to use the trademarked name to sell t-shirts
and other merchandise.
Yes, we have an
anti-capitalist movement applying for trademark protection in order to
sell branded merchandise at a profit-or what we like to describe as
engaging in capitalism.
The Occupy Wall
Street movement may or may not survive the cold Manhattan winter.
2012 being an election year, the movement might get absorbed by the
Democrats, much like the Tea Party movement was absorbed by the
Republicans. Or, it may simply lose steam and fade into
irrelevance as the media and public get bored with it. Only time
will tell, and much will depend on how the respective campaigns of both
parties develop.
But whether the
movement has staying power or not, the popular anger and
dissatisfaction almost certainly does. And there is not much that
our politicians can do about it without making a difficult situation
even worse.
Let's focus today on one issue that gets a lot of headlines-unemployment.
The official
unemployment rate, at 9.1 percent, has stubbornly stayed at levels last
seen nearly 30 years ago. The last time unemployment was over 9
percent was 1983-in Ronald Reagan's first term.
Then, as now, we
had a large, restive generation of young people. 1960 marked the
highpoint of the post-WWII Baby Boom. By the early 1980s, that
massive bulge of Boomers was out of high school or college and
desperately looking for work. Today, we have much the same
situation. The Echo Boomer generation-the children of the Baby
Boomers-had its largest birth year in 1990, 21 years ago. The
U.S. economy, then as well as now, lacked the demand to absorb millions
of young, untrained workers. And so unemployment remained high
until the economy finally grew fast enough to absorb its excess
labor.
The lesson to
learn from this is that large generations take time to incorporate into
the workforce. Unfortunately for today's youth, it might take
longer for them than it did for their parents. You see, the
parents are part of the problem.
America's
Baby Boomers are now in a stage of life that has them aggressively
saving for retirement. They are spending less and saving more,
which is great for the financial health of their families but it is an
absolute disaster for the economy as a whole. This is what the
economist John Maynard Keynes called the Paradox of Thrift. What
is good for you-to be responsible and spend less-is bad for your
neighbor if they depend on you as a customer.
This does not
mean that today's restive youth will never find jobs or that the "New
Normal" is to have 9 percent unemployment. Eventually, our
economy will acclimate to lower spending by Boomers, and the
unemployment rate will slowly fall to something closer to the long-term
average.
But in the
meantime, expect wage growth to be tepid and economic growth to be
somewhat sluggish. And whatever happens to Occupy Wall Street,
expect to see plenty more youth angst.
Source: "Occupy Wall Street Applies for Trademark,"
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