FBTN October Newsletter

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October 2011 

Letter from the Editor

 

 

If you're reading this newsletter, it means you have survived another fiscal year end - not that you aren't still waiting for the 2012 budget! There is usually a collective sigh, especially from the financial people, as another year comes to an end.

 

During the past month, if you have managed the time to read your emails or the newspapers, you know that there has been an unusually large amount of press on federal benefits. Late last week, a USA Today headline proclaimed, "Federal retirement plans almost as costly as Social Security." Using their own research and analysis, the article outlined the big picture of the costs associated with federal benefits and why they believe it is under-funded.

 

Click here  to go directly to the article.

 

We'll continue to closely watch all proposed legislation affecting federal benefits as everything from the High 5 to larger pension contributions to an entirely new retirement system continue to be discussed.

 

Happy autumn -

 

Cordially,

 

John Sklenar

CPA/PFS, CFP

ChFEBC, Chartered Federal Emloyee Benefits Consultant

 

 

In This Issue

1. Alphabet Soup

2. Economics 101 

Bridge Would Be Cheaper 

 

A 60-year old individual who has just retired would need a present value lump-sum of $138,000 to pay for his/her 3 rounds a week golfing habit assuming a 22.4-year life expectancy, an average round of golf cost of $36, a 4% annual rate of inflation on the cost of golf, a static +3% rate of return on the savings and no lost golf balls!  

 

Source: Center for Disease Control, BTN Research
Economics 101     

 

The 3rd quarter is over, and good riddance!  The equity markets were all over the map, behaving like a manic-depressive, up one week and down the next.  With all of the volatility it was hard to keep things in perspective.  If we step back from the stock markets and focus on the measurements of the economy, it's easier to grasp where we are.  Things are difficult, no doubt, but we are adjusting to the new trends of lower debt and slower growth.

 

Two of the most telling components of our economy are wage growth as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which has been modest as reported and even negative when adjusted for inflation, and consumer credit as reported by the Federal Reserve.  By this measure, consumers are reducing the amount of credit they have outstanding in all areas except student loans.  These two different measurements point to something different - an era of less.

 

As we move through the 2010s it appears we are following the path of less credit, less debt, and less earnings.  These trends translate into muted, if not falling, demand.  While some areas have been showing increases lately, car sales remain well below the levels of the 2000s, and home sales are near record lows.  The ripple effects through the economy are clear and will create lasting effects.  One of the most significant outcomes of these trends is higher unemployment.

 

As citizens of the nation and investors, we have to stay focused on the larger trends, as they will eventually overwhelm the day-to-day gyrations of markets.  With the trends \outlined above firmly in place, this is a time for heightened caution, where preserving the wealth and standards of living that you worked so hard to build becomes the main focus.

Coastal States     

 

Depending on how you interpreted last month's quiz, the US state with the longest coastline is either Michigan (lower 48) or Alaska (all 50). We would have accepted either answer - Ken Higle with BLM in Hines, Oregon, was the first to reply with Michigan and was the prize winner. Congratulations, Ken!

Man's Best Friend   

   

Cat-lovers aside, the most popular pet by far in the United States is the dog. There are now many popular hybrids such as the golden-doodle, labra-doodle, and cock-a-poo. Of the pure breds, what is the most popular breed of dog (according to the AKC). Hint: It's been the most popular for the past 10 years.

 

Be the first to email us with the correct answer and win a prize. 

 

Contact Us
202 West 7th St.
Carroll, IA   51401
Phone: 866-792-6668(toll free)
712-792-6400 (local)
712-792-6670 (fax) 

 

 

Alphabet Soup   
 

 FEHB 2012 Style

 

The updated premiums and coverages are out for the 2012 FEHB Open Season that will begin on November 14 and run through December 12. If you're hoping to avoid this annual opportunity to review and change your health benefits, here are some things you may want to consider before you tell yourself your current plan is fine.

 

During each Open Season for Federal Employees Health benefits, federal employees, retirees and their qualified survivors have the option to enroll in, change or cancel their health plans. You are allowed to move from one plan to another with no exclusions for pre-existing conditions. This exceptional provision allows you to move to a more comprehensive plan even if you had a major health event in the past. This is true for all enrollees including current and retired participants.

 

When evaluating health coverage, premiums are usually the first component that gets consideration. Of course, the cost of coverage, particularly your share, is important. However, overall out-of-pocket expenses also deserve your attention.

 

For example, if you are in a plan with higher premiums, you should expect your deductibles and co-pays to be lower (although this isn't guaranteed). If you only use your insurance to go to the doctor for an annual exam, the lower deductibles and co-pays won't do you much good and you're probably paying more for your overall healthcare than you need to.

 

On the other hand, if you've chosen a lower-cost option based on premiums alone (and not what it covers), if you have significant healthcare issues, you may quickly incur out-of-pocket expenses that have your overall healthcare expenses soaring. Understanding your and your family's current health requirements can help you make the decision for the appropriate plan.

 

Only about 8% of federal employees actually change health plans each year. The hassle factor of reviewing your options may make you want to avoid the process. Making sure you are in the "right" health plan for your situation can save you money either in premium dollars or out-of-pocket expenses.

 

Cash Is King 

 

 Revolving credit, which includes credit card debt, peaked in September 2008 (i.e., 3 years ago) at $972 billion. Since then the nationwide total of revolving credit has fallen 18.5% to $792 billion.

Source: Federal Reserve

 

TSP Returns

 

The summer was not a great time the majority of the TSP Funds and moving into fall hasn't improved those returns. Listed below are the current monthly and year-to-date returns, by fund.

 

G Fund

September - .16%
YTD -             2.01%

 

F Fund

September -   .65%
YTD -             6.55%

 

C Fund

September - (4.56%)
YTD -             (6.36%)

 

S Fund

September - (7.84%)
YTD -             (12.46%)

 

I Fund

September - (7.08%)
YTD -             (12.84%)

 

L Income

September - (.99%)
YTD -                 .25%

 

L 2020

September - (3.22%)
YTD -             (3.72%)

 

L 2030

September - (4.05%)
YTD -               (5.25%)

 

L2040

September - (4.69%)
YTD -             (6.45%)

 

L2050

September - (7.16%)
YTD - Not available - fund started in February 2011

 Returns provided by www.fedsmith.com